LESSON 1
The Timeline: What the Builders Are Saying
Stop guessing. We analyze the consensus roadmap from the world's leading AI architects — Altman, Kurzweil, Musk, and Diamandis. Understand the difference between AGI and ASI, and why the "safe" 5-year window might actually be 18 months.
THE CURVE
Why We Underestimate Exponential Growth
Humans think linearly. AI advances exponentially. This mismatch is why most professionals are dramatically underestimating the speed of change — and why the next 2 years matter more than the last 10.
The Math
- Linear thinking: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5... predictable and comfortable
- Exponential reality: 1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32... doubles each cycle
- Key insight: GPT-3 to GPT-4 took 2 years. The jump was 100x.
The Consensus Timeline
- 2025-2026: AI agents handle multi-step workflows autonomously
- 2027-2028: AGI-level reasoning — AI matches human experts in most domains
- 2029-2030: ASI potential — AI surpasses human intelligence in all areas
THE SECTORS
Which Jobs Are Most Exposed
Not all white-collar roles face equal disruption. Understanding the exposure map helps you position yourself where humans still have maximum leverage.
300M
white-collar jobs globally exposed to AI automation
Source: Goldman Sachs
46%
of administrative tasks can already be done by AI
Source: McKinsey
18mo
estimated window before major workforce restructuring
Source: Industry consensus
